After Ezz Steel's Delisting from the Egyptian Stock Exchange — Who Will Be the Winner?

After Ezz Steel's Delisting from the Egyptian Stock Exchange — Who Will Be the Winner?

Delisting “Ezz Steel” from the Egyptian Stock Exchange: Implications for Market Depth and Foreign Investments

The extraordinary general assembly of Ezz Steel approved the voluntary delisting of the company's shares from the Egyptian Stock Exchange, in a move expected to affect market liquidity and the choices of local and foreign investment funds, especially given that the company is one of the leading assets that has been relied upon by the stock exchange indices for decades. The decision included the purchase of shares belonging to objecting shareholders and those wishing to exit, in addition to the shares of depository receipts listed on the London Stock Exchange.

1. Implications of the Delisting of “Ezz Steel” on Market Depth:

Mohamed Gab Allah, board member of “Ru'ya Online” for securities trading, indicated that the exit of a strategic stock of the size of “Ezz Steel” will reduce market depth, which relies on the diversity of large assets to attract investments, noting that the stock had been a preferred destination for foreign investments. He emphasized the need for the Egyptian Stock Exchange management to compensate for this loss by listing new high-liquidity companies, or by encouraging private sector companies to make public offerings.

2. Repercussions of the Decision on the Industrial Sector:

Despite the expected negative effects, experts believe that the delisting may stimulate opportunities for other companies in the iron and steel sector, such as “Attaqa” and **”Iron and Steel for Mining”**, especially after the end of the current selling pressure associated with the exit of “Ezz Steel”. Redirecting investment flows toward these companies may enhance their market value in the medium term, especially with rising domestic demand for steel products driven by infrastructure projects.

3. Technical Forecasts for Stock Exchange Indices:

In a related context, Gab Allah expected the EGX30 index to face resistance at the level of 30,300 points, with the possibility of rising to 32,400 points if it maintains the main support level at 29,500 points. These forecasts come amid volatile market movements, which reflect investors' anticipation following the delisting decision and its implications for confidence.

4. Challenges Facing the Egyptian Stock Exchange:

The move sheds light on challenges the stock exchange faces in attracting new foreign investments, especially with the decline in the number of listed leading companies. Strengthening investor confidence requires accelerating structural reforms, such as:

  • Facilitating the IPO procedures for large companies.
  • Improving corporate governance for listed companies.
  • Developing innovative investment tools (such as private equity and income funds).

Also:

The decision to delist “Ezz Steel” represents a test of the Egyptian Stock Exchange's ability to overcome the loss of strategic assets and restructure the market to absorb alternative investment flows. While the coming period may witness shifts in the movements of foreign funds, strengthening reforms and increasing the attractiveness of promising sectors will be key to compensating for the void left by the exit of one of the market's giants.

Potential Effects on Market Depth:

Capital market experts indicate that the exit of a stock of the size of “Ezz Steel” will lead to a reduction in market depth, meaning the ease of trading and availability of shares. This shortage may negatively affect the attractiveness of the stock exchange for investors, especially foreign ones who typically target leading stocks.

Potential Effects on Investment Funds:

Investment funds, especially Arab and foreign ones, may find it difficult to find suitable alternatives to the “Ezz Steel” stock in the same sector. This may drive them to reassess their investment strategies in the Egyptian market.

Potential Effects on Other Companies' Stocks:

Some believe that the exit of “Ezz Steel” may have a positive impact on the stocks of other companies in the same sector, such as Attaqa and Iron and Steel for Mining. However, this depends on the end of the current wave of selling that followed the delisting decision.

Recommendations for the Egyptian Stock Exchange:

Capital market experts stress the necessity for the stock exchange management to intervene and provide alternatives to the “Ezz Steel” stock by adding new and qualified companies to the market. This step will help maintain the market's attractiveness and compensate for the shortage resulting from the exit of a leading stock.

A Technical View of the Market:

On the overall market level, analysts indicate that the EGX30 index has a resistance level at 30,300 points, then a target of 32,400 points, on condition of maintaining the support level of 29,500 points.

Implications of Delisting “Ezz Steel” Beyond the Steel Sector and Details of the Delisting Process

5. Implications Beyond the Iron Sector: Liquidity Contraction and Investment Shifts

Hanan Ramsis, capital markets expert, explained that the delisting of “Ezz Steel” will not be limited in its impact to the steel sector alone, but will also lead to:

  • A reduction in the number of high-liquidity stocks in the stock exchange, especially after the previous delisting of “Iron and Steel” and currently “Ezz Steel”, leaving “Attaqa” as the only large stock in the sector, which does not attract large investments from funds.
  • The exit of Arab and foreign investment funds from the construction and building sector, with the expectation that their focus will shift toward stocks such as “Talaat Moustafa” (real estate) and **”Hermes”** (financial services), due to their high activity and ability to attract flows.

6. Expectations of a Liquidity Wave and Price Surges:

Ramsis expects that a liquidity injection worth 20 billion pounds will return to the market after the completion of the “Ezz Steel” delisting process, with about 10 billion pounds of it allocated for reinvestment in other stocks. This may lead to:

  • Price surges in stocks of companies targeted by funds, such as winning companies in the retail, telecommunications, or financial services sectors.
  • Improvement in the overall liquidity indicators of the stock exchange, especially with the rotation of funds into alternative assets.

7. Details of the Delisting Decision and the Purchase Process:

  • Approval of the Extraordinary General Assembly:
    The assembly approved the voluntary delisting of “Ezz Steel” shares and the purchase of shares of:

    1. Objecting shareholders and those wishing to exit.
    2. Shares of depository receipts listed on the London Stock Exchange.
    • The purchase price was determined according to a fair value study prepared by BDO (the independent financial advisor) at 138.15 pounds per share, which is higher than:
      • The average price over 3 months before the delisting announcement by 28%.
      • The average price over 6 months by 40%.

Rejection of Ahmed Ezz's Appeal:
The Financial Regulatory Authority rejected the appeal of Ahmed Ezz (the main shareholder with 68%) against the exclusion of his shares and those of related parties from voting on the delisting decision, reflecting the regulatory bodies' commitment to the principle of transparency.

8. Challenges and Opportunities on the Horizon:

  • Challenges:
  • Opportunities:
    • Redistribution of investments across diverse sectors (real estate, financial services).
    • Stimulating structural reforms to accelerate the listing of new companies.

A Test of the Market's Capacity for Renewal

Despite the direct negative effects of delisting “Ezz Steel”, the process may constitute an opportunity to restructure the investment portfolio in the Egyptian Stock Exchange and enhance the focus of funds on high-growth companies in promising sectors. Nevertheless, the need remains urgent to accelerate financial reform plans and diversify investment instruments, to ensure that delisting decisions do not become a precedent that undermines investor confidence in the long term.

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